XRP Rockets 20% This Week, but a Powerful Bullish Breakout Depends on These EMAs

XRP has embarked on an impressive recovery push, but it must first close above the 20- and 50-week EMAs to confirm a bullish breakout.

The broader crypto market has seen renewed buying pressure, with the global crypto market (TOTAL) adding over $229 billion in less than two days. As a result, the global crypto market cap has recently hit a 3-month peak of $2.42 trillion.

XRP has since taken advantage of this upward push, posting its own gains and outperforming the broader market. After starting the week slow, XRP has turned its fortunes around, up 20% this week at press time.

However, market data indicates that XRP remains in a bearish position despite the recent rebound surge. Essentially, the crypto asset still has multiple roadblocks to conquer before it can confirm a shift in market structure from bearish to bullish.

XRP Must Close Above Key Weekly EMAs

Two of these roadblocks involve the 20-week and 50-week exponential moving averages (EMAs). While XRP has gained more than 20% since the start of the week, its price at $1.1912 remains below these two moving averages, confirming that bears still maintain control in the mid-term.

At press time, the 20-week EMA stands at $1.2264, while the 50-week EMA holds around $1.5330. The last time XRP traded around the $1.22 region was in mid-June, during a drop from a $1.29 high. Meanwhile, the token last saw $1.53 in May, three months ago.

Historical data shows that XRP must first close a weekly candlestick above these EMAs before the market can confirm a bullish shift. Notably, previous price surges have always occurred on the back of a close above these moving averages.

For instance, in 2023, XRP was able to flip its momentum bullish after prices closed above the 20 and 50-week EMAs in May. After this, XRP saw a dramatic surge from $0.42 to $0.92 by July 2023, marking a 119% price increase within weeks.

A similar pattern played out in Q4 2024. Specifically, after XRP closed above the 20-week and 50-week EMAs in early November 2024, the next week brought a massive 79% surge amid President Donald Trump’s election victory. This led to the bull run that pushed XRP’s price from $0.5 to $3.4 by January 2025.

The Journey is Tough

However, breaking and eventually closing above these moving averages may not be an easy task for XRP. Since losing these levels, the altcoin has made several attempts to push above them, but each attempt met stiff resistance from sellers.

When XRP dropped below the 20-week EMA in October 2025, it immediately pushed to recover it four weeks later, but the asset faced resistance at $2.37 and eventually pulled back. 

Also, after losing the 50-week EMA in November 2025, XRP attempted to reclaim it during the January 2026 rebound push, but it witnessed another roadblock at $2.41 before dropping below $2 again. Another attempt in May 2026 faced resistance at $1.54, leading to another drop.

From the current price of $1.1912, XRP would need only an additional 2.95% rise to push above the 20-week EMA. Meanwhile, the crypto asset would have to surge by a more substantial 29% to reclaim the 50-week EMA, making the journey to these levels a tough one.