Wyckoff Analyst Calls XRP HTF Structure Disruptive, Warns of a Possible Path to $0.1

A skilled Wyckoff analyst has called the XRP higher-timeframe structure disruptive, warning of a possible price crash to the 2020 lows.

XRP has slipped into a much larger corrective phase amid renewed selling pressure across the market. After ending May with a mildly positive run, the asset collapsed into June, dropping to $1.04 on June 6 before recovering to the current price of $1.17.

Despite XRP’s recent rebound effort, “The Wyckoff Architect,” a pseudonymous yet prominent market analyst who leverages the popular Wyckoff Method for market expositions, believes XRP remains in a danger zone, arguing that it could see a possible deeper crash to the 2020 lows around $0.1.

XRP HTF Structure Disruptive 

According to the analyst, while XRP has recovered nearly 12.5% after dropping to the yearly low around $1.04 days back, the token’s higher timeframe structure remains “disruptive,” indicating that the price action is still weak.

Notably, external chart data confirms that XRP remains under bearish pressure on the weekly timeframe. Specifically, after a 13.24% crash last week, the Directional Moving Index (DMI) indicates that sellers have maintained control of the market.

Data shows the +DI has continued to slope lower, currently sitting around 13.9, while the -DI trends higher, now holding way above at 31.7. This confirms that the market remains in a predominant bearish momentum. 

In addition, the ADX sits at 34, indicating that this bearish momentum is rather strong. Meanwhile, XRP also continues to trade firmly below the weekly Ichimoku Cloud, solidifying its bearish position.

Possible XRP Crash to “Blue Box”

Speaking on this apparent weakness, the Wyckoff Architect suggested that the downtrend could continue despite the recent recovery effort, potentially pushing XRP to a region he calls the “Blue Box.” The market watcher leveraged the Wyckoff Method for this assessment.

For the uninitiated, the Wyckoff Method studies price and volume to understand the behavior of large investors or “smart money.” 

It helps traders recognize important phases and anticipate potential trend changes to improve entry and exit decisions. The trading method proposes that the market has four phases: accumulation, markup, distribution, and markdown. 

XRP’s accumulation phase played out when it ranged between $0.4 and $0.6 throughout 2024. The markup occurred as it surged from November 2024 to the high of $3.4 by January 2025. Distribution followed in February 2025, and markdown started when prices began dropping in October 2025.

The analyst suggests that this markdown phase has not yet concluded. His chart projects XRP to continue declining until it hits the “Blue Box” area, which sits within a range of $0.10 and $0.1450, representing lows last seen during the 2020 bear market.

However, it remains to be seen if XRP’s downward trend would lead to this area, which would mark a further 91% decline from current levels. Other analysts believe XRP could find its bottom around the $0.70 to $0.90 range, not below.