XRP Enters Uncharted Territory as Monthly RSI Hits All-Time Low: Is a Reversal Inevitable?

XRP has slipped into uncharted territory, as its monthly RSI hits the most oversold level in history, triggering speculation of a bullish reversal.

The broader crypto market is currently witnessing renewed selling pressure, and XRP has not escaped the bloodbath. However, this downtrend has triggered a drop in XRP’s monthly RSI to uncharted territory, as the indicator reaches its most oversold level in history.

Key Points

• XRP has crashed 15.37% this month on the back of the most recent market-wide slump.
• This decline has dragged the monthly RSI to an extreme low of 41.7, representing its lowest reading in history.
• The recent figure beats the previous all-time low of 43.75 recorded in March 2020 when XRP crashed to $0.24.
• Such a historically low RSI reading confirms an extreme oversold level for XRP and could lead to a bullish reversal.
• XRP still needs to maintain this reading by the end of the month to confirm the signal.

XRP Slides Alongside the Crypto Market 

Austin, an XRP community figure and well-regarded market commentator, was the first to call the public’s attention to this RSI crash. His commentary came as XRP slid alongside the broader crypto market in what seems to be renewed bearish pressure.

For context, Bitcoin (BTC) recently dumped toward the $63,000 mark after Michael Saylor’s Strategy confirmed selling 32 BTC out of its over 800K BTC stash. This downturn has reverberated across the entire crypto market, with the total crypto market cap losing $336 billion this week alone.

XRP contributes $13.1 billion, as its market cap has dropped by nearly 16% from $82.5 billion at the start of the week to $69 billion at press time. Notably, XRP’s price has since collapsed from $1.33 to $1.11, revisiting the early-February lows.

XRP Monthly RSI Hits All-Time Low

Austin’s analysis points out that this downtrend has triggered a massive crash in XRP’s monthly RSI. 

Specifically, data from his chart shows that the RSI, which measures the pace and size of recent price changes, recently dropped to a new all-time low of 42.64, beating the previous record of 43.75. This occurred as XRP’s price dropped to $1.18 amid the market-wide crash.

However, recent data shows that prices have dropped deeper, and the monthly RSI has slid to new lows. At press time, the XRP RSI has declined to 41.64, lower than the 42.64 reading pinpointed by Austin. The latest reading comes amid a steeper XRP price drop to $1.11.

Before now, the lowest the monthly XRP RSI has gone was 43.75 in March 2020 during the bear market of that time. Expectedly, this aligned with XRP’s bottom for that bear market, as prices collapsed to $0.11. From here, XRP only saw higher lows until it recovered to a high of $1.96 by April 2021. 

Is a Reversal Inevitable?

If history is anything to go by, XRP may be preparing for a reversal, especially after seeing consistent declines since October 2025. Within this period, the crypto asset has crashed nearly 61% from $2.84 to the current price of $1.11, and investors have continued to look out for a reversal signal.

Notably, XRP saw milder declines in late 2024, with the RSI dropping to 48.27 by October, a much higher reading than today. Shortly after this, XRP staged a rebound effort in November 2024, leading to the 580% increase to $3.4 by January 2025.

Now, the RSI has hit lower values, leading to speculation of another potential reversal. However, it is important to note that this does not represent XRP’s final RSI reading for the month of June. If the price recovers slightly back above $1.3, the final reading could be well above 41.65, invalidating the analysis.