Dogecoin Analysis for Feb 17: DOGE Needs to Break Supertrend Resistance at $0.115

Dogecoin is testing key resistance at the Supertrend indicator level while an analyst says momentum is necessary for a rally.

Dogecoin (DOGE) is currently priced at $0.09964, declining by 2.42% over the past day. The price action has been particularly volatile, with Dogecoin briefly climbing above $0.10 before falling back to $0.099, then toward its current price. While it shows some resilience with a 3.77% gain over the past 7 days, this short-term recovery appears to be at odds with its broader downtrend. 

The 24-hour trading volume of $295.85 million in spot trades suggests a moderate level of market interest. However, the futures volume of $2.33 billion reveals more aggressive positioning in the derivatives market.

Dogecoin’s performance over the last 30 days has been grim, with a 27.69% decline, and its 90-day drop of 38.38% paints a picture of a challenging market environment. The situation worsens when examining its 1-year performance, where the price has fallen 62.51%, raising concerns for long-term holders. Despite this, Dogecoin still shows an all-time performance gain of 17,500%. 

Notably, if Dogecoin manages to break resistance near the $0.10 level, it could spark a short-term rally. Can DOGE surge higher to break key resistance?

Dogecoin Price Analysis 

Looking at the daily chart, Dogecoin is facing resistance around $0.11483, as indicated by the Supertrend indicator, which currently shows a red signal, highlighting bearish momentum. The market had previously tested this resistance level, and DOGE has struggled to break through it. 

If Dogecoin is unable to surpass this resistance, it may face further downward pressure. However, if it manages to break above this level, the next resistance could be around $0.125. Nonetheless, if the price fails to hold above this level, the next significant support zone lies at $0.095.

Looking at the Standard Deviation indicator, the current value is 0.00757, showing declining volatility in comparison to previous periods. This suggests that Dogecoin may be moving toward a consolidation phase, with price fluctuations staying within a narrower range. A spike in volatility could occur if the price breaks key levels of support or resistance, which would signal a potential move in either direction.

Analyst Weighs In

On the commentary end, analyst Trader Tardigrade notes that Dogecoin has successfully held above its descending trendline after the backtest, maintaining a bullish structure. Per his chart, the price has also retested and held the descending trendline support. 

However, he highlights that the momentum is currently weak, as the price needs to build more buying pressure to confirm the breakout. 

Trader Tardigrade advises watching for higher volume and stronger candlestick formations to validate the uptrend. While the outlook is cautiously optimistic, his next target for Dogecoin would be around the $0.146 level.