Ethereum Prediction for Feb 10: Here’s Next Resistance After ETH Breaches 20-Day SMA

Ethereum faces elevated volatility after slipping below key technical levels, with traders watching resistance zones and divergence signals. Where next?

A sharp Ethereum (ETH) price sell-off has put the second-largest crypto asset back under pressure. ETH is trading around $2,011, down 3.12% over the past 24 hours, with intraday price action breaking lower after failing to hold above the support between $2,015–$2,100. The daily range has compressed toward the downside, signaling aggressive selling into weakness.

Broader performance metrics reinforce the bearish tone. Ethereum is down 14.22% over the past week, and 34.75% in the last 30 days, while losses deepen to 41.12% over 90 days. 

Market capitalization now stands near $242.5 billion, with $4.79 billion in spot volume and $58 billion worth of futures volume over 24 hours. Despite the sell-off, long/short ratios remain elevated above 2.3 on Binance and 2.5 on OKX.

With ETH breaking lower into a critical psychological zone and positioning still skewed long, the market now faces a pivotal question: Does this flush mark the final shakeout before stabilization, or is Ethereum setting up for another leg lower before buyers step back in?

Is Ethereum’s Stabilization Ahead?

On the technical end, Ethereum remains under heavy pressure after slipping below the lower half of its recent range, with price now hovering just above the psychological $2,000 area. This zone now acts as near-term support, but it sits well above the lower Bollinger Band near $1,684, which represents the next major downside buffer if selling resumes. 

On the upside, recovery attempts face layered resistance. The first major barrier is the 20-day SMA, which aligns with the Bollinger mid-band near $2,488. This level has capped price repeatedly and defines the line between corrective bounces and a broader trend shift.

Above it, the upper Bollinger Band near $3,291 marks the wider resistance ceiling, representing the extreme of the recent volatility envelope and a level sellers previously defended aggressively.

Volatility remains high, with the 20-period standard deviation rising to about 401.77, signaling expanding price swings. Bollinger Bands are still wide, confirming that Ethereum is trading in a high-volatility environment.

Until volatility contracts and price reclaims the mid-band, momentum stays skewed to the downside. A flattening standard deviation alongside a move back above the 20-day SMA would be the first technical sign that bearish pressure may be easing.

Can Ethereum Reach $5,000?

Elsewhere, analyst Javon Marks highlighted a developing hidden bullish divergence on Ethereum’s chart. According to Marks, ETH has printed a higher low on price while momentum indicators continue to register lower lows, signaling weakening downside pressure beneath the surface. 

If confirmed, Marks argues that this setup leaves room for a sustained recovery phase, with Ethereum potentially rallying back toward the $5,000 region. To reach $5,000 from the current price of $2,011, ETH would need to surge by approximately 148.6%.