XRP Descending Triangle Breakout Could Lead to 111%-432% Spike Against Bitcoin

An XRP breakout from a multi-month descending triangle on the monthly chart could lead to a surge against Bitcoin.

Notably, XRP continues to lag behind Bitcoin as the crypto market remains under pressure amid the downturn that began in the fourth quarter of 2025. The sustained weakness has pushed the XRP/BTC pair lower, with XRP suffering a relative disadvantage.

Despite the ongoing decline, market conditions suggest XRP may be approaching a decisive moment against Bitcoin. Its price action now moves closer to the apex of a multi-month descending triangle. This leaves room for a sharp move that could lead to a rebound.

Key Points

• The XRP/BTC pair has trended lower since January 2025 after peaking at 0.00003415 BTC, a period that coincided with XRP’s $3.4 rally.
• XRP has remained in a descending triangle on the monthly chart, with the lower horizontal support holding at 0.00001929 BTC as the price trades around 0.00001960 BTC.
• Historical behavior shows XRP often moves 2-3x more aggressively than Bitcoin during bullish phases, increasing its upside potential during recoveries.
• A bullish breakout could push XRP up by about 111% to 0.00004132 BTC, implying a $4.132 price if Bitcoin trades at $100,000.
• Also, a stronger rally could extend gains by roughly 432% to 0.00010706 BTC, which would place XRP near $10.7 at a $100,000 Bitcoin price.
• Meanwhile, a breakdown below the triangle support could send the XRP/BTC pair down to 0.00001236.

XRP Often Rallies More Sharply Than Bitcoin

Market analyst Celal Küçüker discussed this in a recent commentary, noting that the XRP/BTC pair stands out. Küçüker highlighted that XRP has a historical tendency to move more aggressively than Bitcoin during bullish phases. 

According to him, when Bitcoin rises, XRP often responds with gains that are 2-3x stronger. Based on this pattern, he presented a scenario in which Bitcoin eventually climbs to $180,000. In this scenario, he believes XRP could technically deliver an 11x to 12x move from current levels.

Küçüker also discussed an alternative outcome that does not depend on a major Bitcoin rally. With this, XRP could surge sharply while Bitcoin barely moves. He noted that such a move could allow XRP to increase its relative value against Bitcoin by 5-6x. 

While he suggested that the chart was compelling, the market analyst admitted that market conditions remain weak and unpredictable, confirming that his analysis only shows his observation.

XRP Enters Descending Triangle Against Bitcoin

Meanwhile, data from Küçüker’s chart provides historical context for XRP’s position against Bitcoin. The chart shows that the XRP/BTC pair has traded inside a descending triangle on the 1-month timeframe since peaking at 0.00003415 BTC in January 2025. 

Notably, this peak coincided with XRP’s rally to $3.4 during the same month, a period when the broader crypto market, including Bitcoin, recorded a much milder rise.

After that January 2025 high, XRP steadily lost ground against Bitcoin. The downtrend strengthened during the market-wide decline that began in Q4 2025, leading to deeper losses for XRP and a sustained slide in the XRP/BTC pair. 

However, despite the persistent pressure, the chart shows that the lower boundary of the descending triangle has continued to hold and remains a key support level.

Upside and Downside Targets

According to the chart, the horizontal support line of the descending triangle currently sits at 0.00001929 BTC. XRP trades just above that level at 0.00001960 BTC, indicating that support still holds. The chart also shows XRP moving closer to the apex of the descending triangle, an area where sharp moves may occur.

If an upward breakout develops, Küçüker’s chart projects a potential 111% rally that could lift XRP to 0.00004132 BTC, a level last seen in November 2020. At a Bitcoin price of $100,000, that move would place XRP at $4.132. 

The chart also presents a bigger target, showing a possible 432% surge to 0.00010706 BTC. At the same Bitcoin price of $100,000, XRP would reach approximately $10.7 if the XRP/BTC pair reaches 0.00010706.

The chart also reveals a downside risk. Notably, if the XRP/BTC pair breaks below the horizontal support of the descending triangle, the chart points to a potential drop to 0.00001236 BTC. For context, XRP last traded at that level in November 2024.