XRP RSI Has Now Reached the Same Level That Preceded Every Major Price Explosion Since 2016

The weekly XRP RSI has recently dropped to the same level that preceded every major price breakout since 2016.

XRP has not fared well since dropping below the $3.6 all-time high in July 2025. Data shows that its weekly RSI has continued to collapse ever since, recently slumping below 32.78. Each time the weekly XRP RSI has dropped below this mark, what followed was a major breakout.

Key Points

• XRP has declined by 63% from the $3.6 peak in July 2025, and this has resulted in a drop in its RSI.
• The weekly XRP RSI has crashed below 32.78, currently sitting at 32.37, as the price stands at 1.33.
• Every major breakout that XRP has recorded since 2016 has followed a similar RSI drop below 32.78.
• This trend played out during the 2017 upsurge, the 2021 rally, and most recently, the 2024 price spike.
• Each time this occurred, the weekly RSI failed to reach oversold levels before the price explosion.

XRP Price Struggles Lead to RSI Crash

This is according to a recent analysis by CryptoInsightUK, a prominent market commentator, amid XRP’s price struggles. Notably, the consistent price downturn that has engulfed the XRP market since July 2025 has led to a 63% price drop from the all-time high of $3.6.

Amid this decline, the XRP RSI has continued to collapse. Specifically, the weekly RSI hit a high of 70 in July 2025, when XRP claimed the $3.6 peak. Since then, it has witnessed consistent declines, recording lower highs and lower lows each week, as it forms a falling channel.

The declines have now resulted in the weekly XRP RSI reaching a low of 32.37 at press time, marking an over 4-year bottom. While this still sits above the 30 mark, confirming that the indicator did not slip into the undervalued region, it still presents a golden opportunity for investors.

Historical Context Makes a Bullish Case

CryptoInsightUK called attention to historical context indicating that the current XRP RSI position has often led to impressive price spikes. Specifically, every breakout the XRP price has recorded since 2016 has occurred after the weekly XRP RSI dropped below 32.78.

For context, the RSI hit 32.76 in November 2015, when XRP’s price dropped to a low of $0.00416. This marked XRP’s floor price for that downturn, but it took over a year for a breakout to occur. However, once it occurred, XRP spiked from $0.005 in late February 2017 to $3.31 by January 2018.

Also, the weekly XRP RSI dropped to 32.67 in March 2020, as the price hit $0.1275. This marked the bottom for the bear market, with XRP eventually breaking out to $1.96 by April 2021. Meanwhile, the RSI saw similar lows when XRP’s price dropped to $0.38 in July 2024. This occurred before the November 2024 upsurge that led to $3.4 by January 2025.

Could XRP Repeat the Pattern?

Now, the weekly XRP RSI has again dropped below 32.78, currently reading 32.37 at the time of reporting. If history repeats, the XRP price could witness an explosive surge sometime in the future. However, it remains unclear when this will play out, if it does play out. Also, it remains to be seen if the RSI will close this week below 32.78.

Interestingly, CryptoInsightUK also pointed out that the weekly RSI had only officially hit the oversold level once, when it dropped to 28.09 in June 2022. However, the explosive run did not occur until after the RSI slipped below 32.78 again in mid-2024.

Speaking on this, an XRP community commentator stressed that most analysts and investors often focus on the RSI reaching oversold levels before confirming their bullish bias. However, history confirms that declines below 32.78 have been sufficient for an explosive surge later on, though these rallies often come after extended periods of time.