XRP EMA Crossover Shows When XRP Could Bottom This Cycle

Historical XRP data surrounding the bearish crossover between the 21 EMA and 200 EMA could determine when the price will bottom in this cycle.

XRP has returned to a bearish phase after a short recovery between Feb. 28 and March 17, when prices climbed to $1.6 before losing strength. The asset has since dropped to $1.35, marking a 15% decline.

Amid the weakness, market data shows a major signal involving the 21 EMA crossing above the 200 EMA, a pattern that has previously led to additional declines before a bottom forms. Based on past trends, this crossover suggests XRP could bottom in mid-April.

Key Points

• XRP rallied to $1.6 by March 17 before falling 15% to $1.35 as the broader market weakened.
• Amid the ongoing downtrend, the 21 EMA has crossed above the 200 EMA.
• Historical data confirms that whenever this bearish crossover occurs, XRP often faces further downside before a bottom forms.
• If XRP records steeper declines after the crossover, it could potentially drop 14% to $0.93 from the $1.1 February low.
• Data points to mid-April as the likely timeframe for XRP to establish this bottom if the current pattern holds.

EGRAG Crypto Highlights Key EMA Signal

Crypto analyst EGRAG Crypto called attention to this important signal in his latest analysis. He noted that the 21 EMA has crossed above the 200 EMA, a pattern that has often led to further price drops before the market finally bottoms out.

He stressed that market structure matters more than short-term movements and asked whether this setup will play out the same way it did in the past. His analysis suggests that when similar signals appear, they often lead to similar outcomes.

Speaking further, EGRAG Crypto mentioned what happened in May 2022 after the collapse of the Terra ecosystem. At that time, XRP had already fallen heavily and was trading at $0.3365, which was an 85% drop from its April 2021 high of $1.96.

After the 21 EMA crossed above the 200 EMA in May 2022, XRP dropped further by about 14.6%, reaching a low of $0.2870 in June 2022. This final drop took place over about four 5-day candles, or roughly 20 days, before XRP found its bottom.

This past pattern now acts as some sort of guide for what could happen next, as EGRAG has identified similarities between that period and the current market setup.

Current XRP Setup Shows Similar Pattern

EGRAG Crypto explained that the same EMA crossover has already happened again in March 2026, which suggests that XRP may be following a similar path. He also noted that XRP reached a low of $1.1 in early February. If the same 14.6% drop happens again from that level, the price could fall to around $0.93, which he sees as a possible bottom for this cycle.

He also highlighted that the timing looks similar. The earlier cycle took about 20 days, and the current setup points to a similar timeframe. Based on this, he identified mid-April as an important period when XRP could decide its next direction.

Next Important Levels to Watch

EGRAG highlighted several important price levels that could determine what happens next. He said that if XRP can move back above $1.60, it could regain bullish momentum. This level is important because it once acted as support but later turned into resistance after XRP dropped below it in February.

Since then, XRP has tried several times to break above $1.6 but has not been able to stay above it. The latest attempt came earlier in March, when XRP reached $1.6075 before facing resistance and falling back to $1.35.

According to him, if XRP breaks above $1.60 and then moves past $2.05, it would confirm a stronger upward trend. On the other hand, if the price drops below the $1.1 low from February, it could fall further toward the $0.93 level.

EGRAG believes that mid-April could be the most likely time for XRP to form its bottom, if the current pattern continues to follow the past. After that, he expects the market to move into a new phase, possibly starting another upward trend.