XRP Gaussian Channel Identifies Area That Could Mark the Price Bottom

The Gaussian Channel has revealed the price area in which XRP could mark its bottom for the ongoing downtrend, leading to a bull market recovery.

Notably, XRP has continued to face declines since reaching the $3.6 peak in July 2025. Currently trading for $1.4, prices have dropped 61.1% from the $3.6 high. While traders continue to look out for what could be the bottom for this downtrend, the Gaussian Channel has revealed some important pointers.

Key Points

• Since reaching $3.6 in July 2025, XRP has continued to decline, now down 61% from this peak amid a downtrend that has lasted for five months.
• While some analysts suggested that the new year could bring in a full-blown rebound push, XRP has failed to follow this projection, facing resistance during a January run to $2.4.
• At the current position, investors and traders remain confused about where the bottom of this downtrend could materialize.
• Amid the uncertainty, the Gaussian Channel shows that XRP may now be close to the bottom, which sits at the lower channel around $0.91.
• This means XRP may still dip further below $1 before eventually recovering to new heights in a full-blown rebound.

XRP’s 5-Month Struggles 

This is according to a recent analysis from Chart Nerd, a well-known market watcher, amid XRP’s ongoing struggles. The crypto asset had attempted another recovery push from Feb. 28, but the roadblock at $1.6, attained on March 17, has since foiled this attempt.

XRP has again dropped below $1.5, with bears pushing to breach the $1.4 support in the latest round of selloffs. While some analysts suggested that a full-blown price recovery could ensue in 2026, XRP’s initial rally in early January 2026 faced premature resistance at $2.4, and the recent resistance at $1.6 is the latest to cap such rebound attempts.

Is XRP’s Bottom In?

While bulls have not yet gotten the rally they anticipate, the equally important question is: has XRP already reached its bottom for the ongoing downtrend? For context, XRP reached a floor price of $1.1 on Feb. 6 amid the downturn. While some believe this marked the bottom, others suggest prices could still go lower.

Chart Nerd belongs in the latter’s camp. According to him, XRP still has the potential to decline further from here. Interestingly, in his latest market exposition, the chartist presented a Gaussian Channel analysis to try to pinpoint the area in which XRP could hit its bottom for the bear cycle.

Specifically, the Gaussian Channel features an upper band at $2.16, with a middle band around $1.54. Meanwhile, the lower band sits at $0.91. Chart Nerd suggests that this $0.91 area aligning with the lower Gaussian Channel band could mark XRP’s bottom, from which a proper recovery could ensue.

Historical Data Gives Pointers

Notably, the analyst called attention to historical data that indicates that XRP’s bottom in previous cycles always aligned with the lower Gaussian Channel band on the 2-week chart. 

Data shows that this occurred in March 2017, when XRP dropped to $0.0048, close to the lower Gaussian Channel band at the time. This floor price marked the bottom for the 2017 downtrend, and from here, XRP recovered to the $3.31 peak in January 2018. 

This played out again during the 2020 bear market, as XRP declined to $0.1049 in March of that year. The price aligned with the lower band of the Gaussian Channel and represented XRP’s bottom at the time. While XRP failed to engineer a rebound to new heights due to the SEC lawsuit, which started in December 2020, it still recovered to $1.96 by April 2021.

The last time XRP repeated this pattern was in 2022, when the price declined to $0.2875 in June of that year, following the Terra implosion. This low marked the bottom, as it aligned with the Gaussian Channel’s lower band. From here, XRP started to rebound, but the full rally only came in during the November 2024 upsurge.

XRP Run May Not Be Immediate 

Now, with the lower band of the Gaussian Channel sitting at $0.91, Chart Nerd believes the price could gravitate toward this level to form the bottom, like in previous cycles. XRP’s ability to see bottoms at higher lows, including $0.0048, $0.1049, $0.2875 and now, potentially $0.91, shows it has built strength over the years.

However, it remains uncertain if the $0.91 price will actually mark the bottom. Also, even if the bottom comes in at $0.91, this will indicate that XRP had already recorded its lowest price for the cycle, but it doesn’t guarantee an immediate full-blown upsurge. Most times, such rallies occur months after the price hits the bottom.