XRP Currently Facing Descending Channel Resistance on Its Path to $2.5 and $4

XRP must first breach its long-standing descending channel resistance before it can break the current downtrend and recover toward new all-time highs.

The broader crypto market has faced a roadblock to the latest recovery campaign, as Bitcoin (BTC) collapses below the $70,000 mark. Amid the recent downturn, XRP has witnessed its fair share of the turbulence, down 5.8% over the past three days.

While the market experiences a new wave of selling pressure, chart data shows XRP has a chance of spiking 77% to 180%, possibly putting its price at a range of $2.5 and $4, if only it can breach the upper resistance trendline of a long-standing descending channel that has guided its price action for months.

Key Points

• XRP has also faced a roadblock amid a broader crypto market lull, down 5.8% over the last three days, as the latest upward push stalls.
• Despite the recent pullback, chart data shows XRP has the potential to rise 77% to 180%, leading to a price range of $2.5 to $4.
• The major barrier standing between XRP and this rebound target is the upper resistance trendline of a long-standing descending channel.
• This descending channel formed when XRP dropped from the $3.6 peak in July and has guided its price action for eight months.
• XRP attempted to breach this upper trendline on Oct. 2, 2025, and Jan. 6, 2026, but faced stern resistance on each attempt.

XRP’s Latest Rebound Stalls

Market analyst Ray was first to identify this structure, as XRP faces struggles amid its breakout attempts. Notably, XRP was one of the biggest beneficiaries of the latest market-wide recovery effort, jumping nearly 26% from the low of $1.27 on Feb. 28 to a peak above $1.60 earlier this week.

However, this $1.60 high presented a massive roadblock to the upsurge, as the broader market rally lost momentum, with Bitcoin eventually losing $70,000 and $69,000. XRP has since collapsed 5.8% over the past three days, currently trading for $1.45.

XRP Needs to Breach Descending Channel Resistance

Despite the short-term weakness in the market, Ray insists that XRP still has room for growth. Data from his chart shows the token has been trading within a descending channel for eight months. Notably, this channel started forming after XRP dropped from the $3.6 peak in July 2025.

Since then, the price has continued to struggle, recording lower highs and lower lows, and building the path for the channel. XRP attempted to breach the upper resistance trendline of this channel on two occasions: first at the $3.1 high of Oct. 2, 2025, and then at the $2.41 high of Jan. 6, 2026. Each attempt failed due to resistance at the trendline.

Meanwhile, bears also tried to push prices below the lower support trendline during the declines to $2.72 in August 2025, $1.37 in October 2025, $1.81 in November 2025, and $1.1 in February 2026. Interestingly, bulls defended the support at each attempt, fueling a rebound. Now, Ray’s chart shows XRP must breach the upper resistance trendline to flip the ongoing bearish trend.

XRP Could Rise 77% to 180%

The chart calls attention to two possible targets above the descending channel, which XRP could reach once it breaches the resistance trendline. For context, the upper resistance trendline now aligns with the $1.65 price level, demanding a 13.8% increase from the current price of $1.45.

In an earlier analysis, Ray suggested that a breakout above the resistance trendline would push XRP to a high of $2.52. This aligns with a 77% increase from the $1.42 price at the time of the analysis. Applying this to the 180% rise indicates that XRP could also target $3.9 from the $1.42 price, closer to the $4 mark.