XRP “In Deep Trouble” Until It Breaks This Key Resistance

XRP currently finds itself in “deep trouble” amid the ongoing downtrend until it recovers a crucial support level that has turned into resistance since January.

While XRP recently engineered a recovery campaign, chart data indicates that the ongoing downtrend continues to dominate the scene. Notably, the price remains below the pivotal $1.8 support area, now acting as resistance, and XRP still sits in “deep trouble” until it reclaims this level.

Key Points

• XRP recently staged a recovery effort as the broader crypto market reacted to the Israel-Iran conflict, recovering above $1.5 before falling to $1.46.
• Despite the latest upward push, chart data shows XRP still sits in “deep trouble” as it continues to record lower lows and lower highs.
• XRP initially traded between a parallel channel with resistance at $3.45 and support around $1.8 when the ongoing downturn started in Q4 2025.
• In January 2026, XRP eventually slipped below the channel, giving up the $1.8 support, and has remained below it since then.
• Unless XRP recovers the $1.8 support, which has now turned to resistance, it remains “in deep trouble” despite recent gains.

XRP’s Latest Rebound Effort

This structure was highlighted in a recent market exposition by analyst Sjuul from the AltCryptoGems channel, as XRP faces a roadblock to its latest rebound effort. 

For context, after dropping to a low of $1.27 on Feb. 28 amid the initial reaction to the Israel-Iran conflict, XRP eventually recovered alongside the rest of the crypto market, soaring first to a high of $1.47 before pulling back to $1.32 on March 8. 

Bulls reignited the upward push after this low, with XRP recording seven intraday gains out of eight days from March 9 to 16, its longest bullish stretch since September 2025. During this period, XRP gained 14.9%, reclaiming the $1.5 level and closing March 16 at $1.54.

However, a further attempt to recover $1.6 earlier this week led to resistance at $1.6074, and has now resulted in a consistent pullback for XRP, as the broader market momentum loses steam. XRP now changes hands around $1.46, on track for its third consecutive intraday loss.

XRP “In Deep Trouble”

Commenting on the latest rebound attempt and the subsequent correction, Sjuul insisted that he still sees XRP “in deep trouble” once he zooms out. He shared data from the daily chart, which confirms that XRP traded within a large parallel channel throughout 2025 despite the struggles that began in Q4 2025.

For context, this channel features a resistance trendline around $3.45 and a support trendline around $1.8. XRP largely traded between both trendlines throughout 2025. Data from the accompanying chart shows that XRP has been recording a series of lower lows and lower highs since hitting the all-time high of $3.6 in July 2025.

This has played into the ongoing downtrend that began in October 2025 and has pushed XRP below the $3 and $2 psychological levels. However, despite the turbulence, XRP remained within the parallel channel throughout 2025, holding above the pivotal $1.8 support level.

This changed in January 2026, when XRP closed below $1.8 at the end of the month. Since then, the price has failed to reclaim or even retest the $1.8 level, as it has flipped from support to resistance. It is against this backdrop that Sjuul insists that XRP remains in “deep trouble.”

Bullish Requirement and Downside Target

The market analyst also called attention to the bullish development that could help XRP slip away from the troubling phase and the downside target if this development fails to materialize. According to him, XRP must reclaim the $1.8 level and push back inside the parallel channel before it can invalidate the bearish bias.

Sjuul then highlighted a “no support zone” around $1.2 to $1.3, which XRP overcame during the November 2024 rally. Since then, XRP has respected this area, leveraging it as a cushion to bounce back during downturns. The analyst suggests the price could drop toward this level if XRP does not quickly reclaim $1.8.