XRP Target of $42 Represents Structure, Not Hopium

Recent projections suggesting XRP could reach ambitious two-digit price levels hinge on historical structure, not “hopium.”

Specifically, XRP’s historical price behavior shows repeating cycles where consolidation leads to breakouts and major expansions, and this has created a reliable roadmap pointing to a potential surge to $42.

Notably, since late 2014, XRP has formed four macro price structures that follow the same compression, breakout, and expansion pattern, with each earlier cycle reaching its measured target. The current cycle shows a breakout and retest, which bolsters the case for a larger upside move over time.

Key Points

• While XRP has continued to witness bearish pressure, it may be on track for a two-digit price target based on historical trends.
• XRP has moved through four macro formations since 2014, marked as pink, blue, yellow, and white on the monthly chart.
• Market data shows that XRP currently trades within the white macro formation, as it retests a trendline breakout from November 2024.
• The repeated structure across all cycles explains the projected long-term path toward $42 based on historical pattern behavior.

XRP’s Past Macro Formations

EGRAG Crypto, a well-known analyst, shared this data during his analysis of the one-month chart. EGRAG believes XRP remains on track to claim $42 but insists that this target is not based on “hopium,” but historical structure.

For context, data shows that XRP has gone through four major macro formations, each marked with a color: pink, blue, yellow, and white. 

The pink macro formation started in Q4 2014, involving an XRP rebound from $0.00466 in October 2014 to $0.0280 by December 2014, and a subsequent collapse from this high to consolidate at lower levels between $0.006 and $0.009. This consolidation ended in March 2017 alongside the pink macro formation. 

Meanwhile, the blue macro formation started in March 2017 and involved XRP’s run to $0.3988 by May 2017 and a subsequent pullback and consolidation. The consolidation ended in November 2017 alongside the blue macro formation.

For the yellow macro formation, it started in December 2017, as XRP recovered from the previous consolidation and surged to a peak of $3.31. From here, it collapsed immediately and entered a downtrend that pushed prices to $0.1691 by June 2020. This marked the end of the yellow macro formation. 

The Current White Formation

Notably, the white formation began in June 2020. Here, XRP first recovered to $1.96 by April 2021, dropped to $0.5, and then climbed to $3.65 by July 2025. The coin broke above the upper trendline of this formation, and now, during the current downtrend, it is retesting that breakout.

EGRAG pointed out that the white formation follows the same pattern as the earlier three. Specifically, it shares the same compression profile, breakout rules, timing, and expansion setup. The repeated behavior across these cycles shows that the market moves in predictable ways.

Why Structure Supports the $42 Target

Speaking further, EGRAG stressed that the first three macro formations all reached their measured targets with nearly 100% accuracy. This shows that XRP moves in cycles, not randomly. These patterns confirm why the current white formation may lead toward $42.

However, EGRAG doesn’t guarantee the price will hit $42. Despite this, he emphasized that the structure justifies the journey toward that target. 

When asked whether the major price surge could happen in Summer 2026, EGRAG presented two scenarios: either the bullish outlook has failed, and the market has entered a bear phase, or XRP is moving into a new cycle while maintaining its overall structure. He confirmed that he leans toward the second scenario.