Historical Data Shows “HUGE” Move Coming for XRP with $5 Monthly Candle in March

Historical data indicates that XRP could be eyeing a “huge” move in the coming weeks, with a possible run to new all-time highs in March.

XRP has been at the mercy of the bears over the past few months, having collapsed 60% from its July 2025 all-time high of $3.66 to the current price around $1.44. Notably, XRP has witnessed four consecutive monthly red candles and is on track to record a fifth one for the first time since late 2016 to early 2017.

Amid the downturn, XRP has now dropped to retest a pivotal gray trendline within an ascending multi-channel structure on the monthly chart. Historical data indicates that each time XRP retests this pivotal gray trendline, what follows is an explosive run. A similar surge could take prices to $5.

Key Points

• The broader market downtrend has led to a 60% decline in the XRP price, slumping from the $3.66 peak in July 2025 to $1.44 today.
• While the persistent declines have dealt a blow to investor sentiment, market data shows they have pushed XRP to a pivotal grey trendline within an ascending multi-channel structure.
• Historical data indicates that each time XRP retests this trendline, an explosive run follows, and this time may not be different.
• This pattern has played out twice since 2017, resulting in the rallies to $3.31 in January 2018 and $3.4 in January 2025.
• If XRP follows this trend, the next upsurge could emerge in March, potentially leading to a new all-time high around $5.

XRP Retests the Gray Trendline

Market analyst Crypto Bull called attention to this ascending multi-channel structure in a recent market exposition. Data from his accompanying chart confirms that this structure has guided XRP’s price action since the asset began trading in the open market in 2013.

For context, the channel features eight parallel ascending trendlines, with a blue trendline at the top and a gray trendline at the bottom. Between these two trendlines are six other lines with different color shades, including a red one right above the gray trendline at the bottom.

With the trendlines in a continuous ascension, the gray trendline now aligns with the $1.1 XRP price. Interestingly, amid the drop to $1.11 on Feb. 6, which followed a rapid drop on Feb. 5, XRP retested the gray trendline before recovering immediately. 

“HUGE Move Coming”

Crypto Bull believes this development is bullish for XRP, citing historical data. According to him, “a HUGE move is coming for XRP.” The market analyst suggested that this huge move could come in the form of a green candle for the month of March. 

Crypto Bull predicts the green candle to lead to a price of $5, which would represent a 247% increase from the current value. Meanwhile, to put things into perspective, the same $5 marks a mere 36% increase from XRP’s $3.66 all-time high price in July 2025.

Historical Data Shows XRP Potential

Notably, historical data confirms XRP’s potential to soar rapidly shortly after retesting the grey trendline. For instance, as of early 2017, the trendline aligned with the $0.005 level. XRP’s price dropped to this level in early February 2017, and a massive 284% increase followed in March 2017.

The rally persisted after this March upsurge, eventually leading to a peak of $3.31 by January 2018. Another instance occurred in Q4 2024, when XRP retested the gray trendline after a drop to $0.5 in November 2024. Another rally emerged, leading to 283% increase that month. The rally continued until XRP claimed $3.66 in July 2025. 

However, it is important to note that past success does not guarantee future results. While XRP has rallied in previous instances, another upsurge this time is not a 100% certainty. As a result, investors should not regard this as investment advice.