This Binance Signal Suggests Massive Bitcoin Rally Ahead

The Bitcoin balance on Binance is in a downtrend, with analysis indicating accumulation and increased confidence in Bitcoin’s long-term trajectory.

CryptoQuant spotlighted this analysis from XWIN Research Japan in its Wednesday X post, explaining why the Bitcoin reserve on Binance is declining. The report also highlighted its implications for the pioneering cryptocurrency, even as its price shows upward momentum.

For perspective, BTC has increased by 6.5% in the past 24 hours, spurred by macroeconomic tailwinds. The resurgence pushed the cryptocurrency to 8th place in the top global assets by market cap.

Bitcoin Drying Up on Binance

For the uninitiated, Binance is the largest crypto exchange by trading volume globally. Its place and market share confirm the significance of activities in and around the trading platform.

The Wednesday report shows that Bitcoin’s reserve on Binance is declining noticeably. An accompanying chart indicates that the exchange’s Bitcoin holdings declined from approximately 595,000 BTC on November 23 to 572,600 BTC today, representing an outflow of 22,400 BTC.

At the current price level, this implies that more than $2 billion has flowed out of Binance in less than two weeks.

Meanwhile, the post clarified that this is not bearish in any sense. In fact, it suggested that the development is bullish for the digital asset’s price, highlighting several factors that deem this a part of a healthy bullish trend.

Why the Massive Outflow from Binance?

One of the major catalysts for this drop in Binance reserves is the growing movement of Bitcoin from the platform to self-custody wallets. Despite earlier uncertainties, investors prefer to hold BTC with their own keys rather than leave it on Binance.

Notably, this choice reestablishes confidence in Bitcoin in the mid and long term, looking beyond the current trend. The switch to cold wallets also reduces immediate sell pressure.

Furthermore, the Binance outflows align with growing institutional demand for Bitcoin. With inflows from BlackRock, Fidelity, and, most recently, Vanguard gaining weight, their custodians continue to shrink exchange supplies.

Additionally, the analysis cited the recent derivative unwinding and a “regulatory adjustment” as probable causes of the outflow. The late-November leverage-trade washout reduced margin deposits, thereby diminishing the amount of BTC held. Again, as Binance strengthens regulatory compliance, some users are also forced to redirect assets to other platforms, reducing their holdings.

XWIN Research noted that historical evidence indicates such declines support medium to long-term Bitcoin price growth. The firm characterized this as a “normal re-accumulation phase” in anticipation of bullish price developments.