Corporate endorsement of cryptocurrencies by the likes of Tesla, Square, Goldman Sachs, and others helped propel bitcoin higher in the first few months of 2021, as did fears of inflation that sent some investors turning to bitcoin as a hedge against inflation, said both Watkins and Ehrlich.
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Potential bitcoin drivers for the rest of the year include Coinbase’s IPO and other cryptocurrency IPOs, continued institutional adoption of bitcoin and strong expectations that a U.S.-based bitcoin ETF may soon emerge, Watkins noted.
For Ethereum, the hyper demand for NFTs and other projects built on the network helped drive demand at the start of the year, and are expected to carry it through the rest of 2021.
“Ethereum has many kinds of narratives to help drive that story,” Watkins said.
Among them, he pointed to decentralized finance (DeFi), which is primarily built on Ethereum and is taking off because it allows users to trade assets and borrow and lend money directly with one another without involving banks.
Continued demand for NFTs and two upcoming Ethereum upgrades are expected to drive further demand for Ethereum in 2021, Watkins added. The EFP-1559 upgrade, which is designed to change the way users bid for block space, is expected to come online in July, while Ethereum 2.0, which will merge with Ethereum 1.0 at the end of the year, aims to make the block chain’s infrastructure run faster and handle more transactions.
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One Big Risk
Despite a number of catalysts that could potentially drive Ethereum and bitcoin higher this year, Watkins offers this word of caution — macroeconomic conditions.
“When people are taking risk off the table, whether it’s because of treasury yields rising or whatever else, that has an effect on the crypto markets,” Watkins said. “If it gets to the point where equities start to get a bit shaky like they did a month ago, that’s not going to be good for the crypto markets as well. We could definitely see a 30%, 40%, or 50% correction.”